tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9430835.post968179555138182334..comments2024-03-28T16:22:14.888-07:00Comments on Steve Sailer: iSteve: Nate Silver and Small DataUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9430835.post-29500527523848685912013-08-05T16:11:41.907-07:002013-08-05T16:11:41.907-07:00he has a face for radio thoughhe has a face for radio thoughDr. Stephen J. Krune IIIhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07883514471341513380noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9430835.post-17347766642742529682013-08-05T15:04:05.425-07:002013-08-05T15:04:05.425-07:00Same here Monroe.
I mean simple common sense was ...Same here Monroe.<br /><br />I mean simple common sense was telling me that Silver was full of shit.<br /><br />I remember him being trumpeted for predicting Obama winning in 2008, as though it was some off the wall prediction.<br /><br />But just looking at the methodology of the polls he heavily weighted I thought "no way this guy is on to something. He's got to be full of shit."<br /><br />Lo and behold, he ended up being right in 2012, much to my chagrin.Inane Ramblerhttps://twitter.com/UnendImprovnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9430835.post-84105353331450388642013-08-05T10:21:09.397-07:002013-08-05T10:21:09.397-07:00I blushed slightly at what Cosh wrote, because I&#...I blushed slightly at what Cosh wrote, because I've had Silver's book on my bedside table for about three weeks without opening it.Rossnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9430835.post-79545113118130686032013-08-05T04:19:14.460-07:002013-08-05T04:19:14.460-07:00I can never understand Silver's system. It see...I can never understand Silver's system. It seems like he justifies his own views by oversampling the data, and hopes that he's right so the left can make fun of the right for being "anti-math" and stupid. But then again I sound like those in 2012 who simply thought minorities were overpolled and that the Obama excitement wasn't as great. I forgot that Coleman Young was elected for 20 years, and the DNC is more and more as inflammatory as the ANC.Monroe Ficushttp://morningnewstelegraph.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9430835.post-54549935443209819332013-08-04T20:47:26.606-07:002013-08-04T20:47:26.606-07:00The scary thing is look who is on TV now.The scary thing is look who is on TV now.ATBOTLnoreply@blogger.com