As I discussed below, one of the most popular papers in recent economics was "Law and Finance," which argued that countries whose legal systems derive from the British common law provide more protection of outside shareholders than countries with French-derived law codes. Over time, however, this useful little insight has bloviated into a general explanation for the wealth and poverty of nations, illustrating the tendency of modern economists to not see what is in front of their noses.
A reader writes:
I'm         curious to hear how they compare the relative performance of Taiwan and         Singapore, both with Chinese populations, the latter with a British         legal heritage and the former without such a heritage, but with almost         identical GDPs per capita today. There is clearly some benefit to be         derived from *not* being ruled by mainland China, but it seems to matter         rather less *who* colonized you (at least, between Britain and Japan).
       
        I'm also curious to hear how they compare the relative performance of         Malaysia and Thailand. Their economic performance is fairly similar         (Malaysia is a bit ahead) but Thailand was never colonized at all.         (Thailand, by the way, is about 14% ethnic Chinese, not so wildly         different from Malaysia's 24%.)
       
        It's interesting to look at the list below of countries in Africa, their         former colonial masters, and GDP per capita (PPP method, from the CIA         factbook), ranked by GDP per capita:
        
Country                          Colonial Power     $GDP per Capita
        South Africa                    Britain                         10,700
        Botswana                        Britain                         9,000
        Namibia                         Britain (prev German)   7,200
        Tunisia                         France                          6,900
        Libya                           Italy                           6,400
        Algeria                         France                          6,000
        Gabon                           France                          5,500
        Swaziland                       Britain                         4,900
        Egypt                           Britain                         4,000
        Morocco                 France                          4,000
        Lesotho                         Britain                         3,000
        Equatorial Guinea               Spain                           2,700
        Ghana                           Britain                         2,200
        Guinea                          France                          2,100
        Angola                          Portugal                        1,900
        Zimbabwe                        Britain                         1,900
        Sudan                           Britain                         1,900
        Mauritania                      France                          1,800
        Cameroon                        France (prev German)    1,800
        Gambia                          Britain                         1,700
        Senegal                         France                          1,600
        Togo                            France                          1,500
        Uganda                          Britain                         1,400
        Cote D'Ivoire                   France                          1,400
        Rwanda                          Belgium                         1,300
        Djibouti                        France                  1,300
        Chad                            France                          1,200
        Sao Tome & Principe             Portugal                        1,200
        Mozambique                      Portugal                        1,200
        Benin                           France                          1,100
        Burkina Faso                    France                          1,100
        Central African Repub   France                  1,100
        Kenya                           Britain                         1,000
        Liberia                         USA (sort of)                   1,000
        Mali                            France                          900
        Nigeria                         Britain                         900
        Zambia                          Britain                         800
        Guinea-Bissau                   Portugal                        800
        Madagascar                      France                          800
        Niger                           France                          800
        Ethiopia                        Italy (sort of)         700
        Eritrea                         Italy                           700
        Comoros                 France                          700
        Congo, Dem Republic             Belgium                         700
        Congo, Republic                 France                          700
        Burundi                         Belgium                         600
        Tanzania                        Britain (prev German)   600
        Malawi                          Britain                         600
        Sierra Leone                    Britain                         500
        Somalia                         Italy (and Britain)     500
        
You         can find pairings that look like they support the Legal Affairs         contention and pairings that look like they refute it. Ghana (fmr         British) is doing better now than Togo, Benin or the Ivory Coast (all         fmr French). But Nigeria and Sierra Leone (both fmr British) are doing         substantially worse than Cameroon and Guinea (both fmr French). And         Senegal (fmr French) and the Gambia (fmr British) look pretty much         identical. Algeria (fmr French) and Egypt (fmr British) each have Arab         populations, lots of sand and some oil. But Algeria is doing better         economically in spite of the fact that it's been more politically         unstable of late, and the fact that Egypt has the canal and massive         American support. The bottom four basket cases on the list, in economic         terms - Tanzania, Malawi, Sierra Leone and Somalia - were all at least         partly colonized by Britain.
       
        Britain's most successful former colonies in sub-saharan Africa are         South Africa, Botswana and Namibia, plus Swaziland and Lesotho, which         were never precisely colonies. South Africa dominates the economy of the         region, and it is only 75% black African. Namibia is 87% black African         and Botswana's stats are not usefully broken out (they count white in         the category "other" and I don't know what else is in that         category; "other" is 7% of the country). So it's plausible to         attribute the outperformance of this entire region to South African         exceptionalism, which is surely related to the exceptional racial         breakdown of the country. Of the next batch - Ghana, Zimbabwe, Gambia         and Uganda - none has a non-African population above 2%. Meanwhile, the         most successful French former colonies in sub-Saharan Africa are Gabon,         Guinea, Cameroon, Senegal and Togo. Gabon is 1% French, but 11%         "other Africans and Europeans" and it has a tiny population,         so maybe it's an outlier and we should discount it [It's just an oil         spigot country.] The next four countries have non-African populations of         well under 2% - smaller, on average, than the four British successes.         And their average GDPs are pretty similar:
        
Country Colonial Power Non-African % Total Populat GDP per Capita (USD)
Ghana                   Britain                 <1%                     20.8mm                  2,200
Guinea                  France                  <1%                     9.3mm                   2,100
       
Zimbabwe                Britain                 <2%                     12.7mm                  1,900
Cameroon                France                  <1%                     16.1mm                  1,800
       
Gambia                  Britain                 1%                      1.6mm                   1,700
Senegal                 France                  1%                      10.9mm                  1,600
       
Togo                    France                  <1%                     5.6mm                   1,500
Uganda                  Britain                 1%                      26.4mm                  1,400
        Do you see a pattern here? I don't.
       
        Looks to me like the French legal heritage works about as well as the         British if you compare otherwise similar countries.
My published articles are archived at iSteve.com -- Steve Sailer
 
 
 
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