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May 24, 2011
Mortgage Lending Industry Strategic Markets & Diversity Conference
All these years after the mortgage meltdown, most well-informed Americans have yet to hear about the existence of the mortgage diversity industry. The number of activists and academics employed by the mortgage diversity biz isn't huge, but it's not insignificant either. And it has a major impact on molding reporting on mortgage and diversity issues. Since all the self-proclaimed experts are rewarded for promoting more lending to the diverse, we get a one-sided view. This industry's conventions don't rival AIPAC's wingding, but they're not insubstantial
The hot topic is Rep. Maxine Water's Section 342 of the Dodd-Frank Act, which requires hiring lots of diversity compliance officers who will then funnel money to others in the diversity industry.
My old articles are archived at iSteve.com -- Steve SailerPanhandling 5
I discovered today that, remarkably enough, if you want people to give you money, you have to ask them for money. After a couple of days of not posting an ask, I posted one last night, and some more money flowed in today.
So, if you haven't donated yet during this drive, please consider it.
You can send me an email and I'll send you my P.O. Box address.
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Finally, a fun Woody Allen movie
Here's my Taki's Magazine review of Woody Allen's Midnight in Paris
Satire is a reactionary art form powered by contempt for the present. Although Woody Allen, now 75, has always espoused conventionally liberal views, he’s one of the last figures in American culture unaffected by the 1960s’ faux egalitarianism.
Having turned 21 in 1956, Woody’s enthusiasms remain those of a cultured mid-century New Yorker. In his famous speech at the end of 1979’s Manhattan on what makes life worth living, Allen references Mozart, Flaubert, Cézanne, Louis Armstrong, Groucho Marx, Marlon Brando, Frank Sinatra, Willie Mays, and Ingmar Bergman—in other words, nobody from the 1960s or 1970s. Like Ralph Lauren, Woody Allen has always been an old-fashioned snob.
In his delightful new romantic fantasy Midnight in Paris, Allen takes on a challenge similar to Evelyn Waugh in Brideshead Revisited: recreating a vanished golden age. To Woody, it’s the 1920s Paris of the Lost Generation modernists.
Read the whole thing there.
By the way, I've been reviewing Woody Allen movies for a decade so let's see if I came up with anything new to say about him this time. Here are the old reviews:
The Curse of the Jade Scorpion, 2001
Melinda and Melinda, 2004
Match Point, 2005
By the way, I've been reviewing Woody Allen movies for a decade so let's see if I came up with anything new to say about him this time. Here are the old reviews:
The Curse of the Jade Scorpion, 2001
Melinda and Melinda, 2004
Match Point, 2005
Reading through them after finishing this new one, I'd say, well, huh, maybe I didn't come up with 800 words of wholly new ideas each time. But they are at least as original as Woody's movies from the last decade!
But, don't let that dissuade you from seeing his latest, Midnight in Paris. It's a joy.
But, don't let that dissuade you from seeing his latest, Midnight in Paris. It's a joy.
Basically, we're trying to murder Gaddafi, right?
The WSJ reports:
North Atlantic Treaty Organization warplanes bombarded targets in Tripoli early Tuesday in what appeared to be the heaviest night of bombing of the Libyan capital since the alliance launched its air campaign against Col. Moammar Gadhafi's forces.
The airstrikes, which struck around Col. Gadhafi's residential compound, came as the U.S. invited Libya's rebel leadership on Tuesday to open a representative office in Washington and NATO moved toward considering adding ground-attack helicopters to its military campaign in hopes of breaking a stalemate between the Libyan leader and rebels seeking to overthrow him.
A spokesman for the U.K. Ministry of Defence said Royal Air Force Jets attacked a large military vehicle depot within Col. Gadhafi's Bab Al Aziziyah complex in the center of Libya on Tuesday, as part of a "major" NATO operation over Tripoli.
Jeffrey Feltman, U.S. assistant secretary of state for Near Eastern affairs, said during a visit to the eastern city of Benghazi on Tuesday that he delivered an oral message to members of the rebels' National Transitional Council from President Barack Obama that promised further support and reiterated America's position that Col. Gadhafi has "lost legitimacy to rule; he cannot regain control of Libya and he must step down immediately, thereby allowing the Libyan people to determine their own future."
If Obama really gets addicted to solving his political problems by killing his enemies, Osama, Gaddafi, etc., well, The Paw better keep on him at all times that pimp's knife.
On the other hand, I can't imagine Bibi has anything to worry about.
On the other hand, I can't imagine Bibi has anything to worry about.
Golf and Baseball Diplomacy?
Cuba is finally getting around to approving second through fifth golf courses for foreign tourists. The country has 2100 miles of coastline, and there's nothing golfers like more than playing next to the sea. There's a recently discovered golf course grass that thrives despite salt spray, so it's become easier to build courses next to the ocean than in the past.
After 50 years of Castro, Cuba is so ridiculously poor that all sorts of financially feasible win-win deals could be worked out between the U.S. and Cuba. Back in 2008, I suggested Baseball Diplomacy to President Bush. Perhaps Obama could try Golf Diplomacy?
But, you never hear much about Cuba as a foreign policy topic. I guess it's too close to America to think about.
"AIPAC as an AIPAC Lobby"
Matthew Yglesias writes:
"There’s no way the AIPAC 2011 annual conference would be a huge deal had the Arab-Israeli dispute been settled in 1997. Nor would it be possible for writers and editorialists with hawkish views on Israel to earn generous paydays speaking to Jewish organizations around the country. And with the (fortunate!) decline of anti-semitism as a practical issue in American life, advocacy around the Arab-Israeli conflict has also become more central to the mission of the Anti-Defamation League and other American Jewish organizations that weren’t initially founded with Zionist missions. Obviously, I don’t think the leadership of these organizations are insincere in their efforts. But it’s still the case that objective interests end up influencing people’s behavior through motivated reasoning and motivated skepticism. And the fact of the matter is that we have a fairly large and very successful network of organizations in the United States that both influence Israeli and American policy and also have strong objective interests in seeing the conflict continue. Indeed, in a weird way the more embattled and isolated Israel becomes, the better “pro-Israel” organizations do."
Have you noticed that Notre Dame and USC never get around to announcing a peace treaty where they permanently settle all their differences and renounce forevermore any resort to the gridiron? It's almost as if the leaderships of Notre Dame and USC think that all those young men getting bruised and injured in their annual football match is somehow in their institutions' interests...
Homicides down
From the LA Times:
California’s homicide rate continued to fall in 2010, reaching the lowest level since 1966, Atty. Gen. Kamala Harris announced Tuesday.
Preliminary figures gathered by the California Department of Justice from the state's largest jurisdictions show the number of homicides reported in 2010 declined by 9.6% from 2009.
That is the fifth year of declines in killings.
There were 1,335 homicides in 89 of the state's largest jurisdictions in 2010, according to the report, down from 1,476 in 2009.
The continuing drop reflects a trend seen in Los Angeles, where there were 293 homicides in 2010, down from 312 the year before, according to the state report.
This is welcome news. The traditional liberal assumption that crime is driven by Les Miserables-like stealing of loaves of bread to feed starving families has been outmoded for some time.
But, what is going on? I've suggested a number of reasons over the years. Besides implementing James Q. Wilson's theory of incapacitating bad guys by long prison sentences (a system threatened by yesterday's Supreme Court ruling to release 33,000 crooks from California prisons), the payoff from crime has diminished relative to the risk of getting caught. The rise of cell phones that track exactly where you are at all times is particularly daunting to teenagers who are thinking about a life of crime but who also want to stay current on their social network. If you can't brag about your crimes on MySpace without creating a permanent record that can be used against you in court, maybe it makes more sense to stay home and play Grand Theft Auto than to go out and commit it.
A couple of suggestions that I don't think have drawn enough attention are:
- Lack of a new drug. Fortunately, nobody has invented a new super drug since crack in the mid 1980s. Crack was just an all-around disaster: a drug aimed at poor people, which made them nastier, and which generated vast amounts of money where there wasn't much of a settled cartel to keep dealers from shooting each other.
- Rick Nevin's work on lead in the environment. In 1939, Robert A. Heinlein drew up his famous "Future History" chart showing how his early sci-fi short stories fit together chronologically. The most striking prediction he made was that the 1960s and 1970s would be the Crazy Years. Lead in the environment from gasoline, paint, and industrial air pollution might have had something to do with this. (On the other hand, you would think Japan ought to have had Crazy Years, too, but didn't.) I considered Nevin's theory here in 2007 at some length. It seems to me to deserve more investigation.
- I think we may be getting a less violent sort of Mexican illegal alien since the rise of the drug wars in Mexico over the last couple of decades. Mexico used to be a police state in which the police had such an upper hand that life was pretty calm. My father and I wandered all over Mexico on vacations in the 1960s to mid 1980s without noticing much crime other than shakedowns, or much evidence that anybody was worried about crime. To the kind of young Mexican man who liked crime, America may have seemed like a happier hunting ground.
On a 1996 trip to Ensenada, however, the number of men standing around gripping automatic weapons was not confidence inducing. The gigantic new mountaintop villas overlooking the seaside golfcourse suggested that I didn't want to know how the owners had gotten their wealth or why they felt the need to employ so many men with AK-47s to guard them.
As American police forces regained the upper hand in the 1990s by sending criminals off to prison for a long time, opportunities for dangerous young men boomed in Mexico's burgeoning crime world. I suspect that America started getting the less violent illegal immigrants on average, while their more dangerous cousins stayed home to be narcos. There may even have been some reverse migration of the craziest Mexican-Americans into Mexico to fight in the drug wars.
Panhandling 4
Well, we got off to a good start with the Spring 2011 iSteve fundraising drive, but then things slowed down when I didn't post an ask for a couple of days. So, if you haven't donated yet during this drive, please consider it.
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College admissions advice
A reader sends in the following strategies for getting into fancy colleges:
My advice to all high school kids is the following:
1. Don't take too many honors classes. Just get good grades. Honors classes don't make you stand out that much. Getting an A in a standard class is better than a B in honors level or AP. If you're smart and want to learn extra, go for it. If you take a regular class, you'll have plenty of time for this either in class where you won't have to pay attention or at home because the homework is easier. You don't get all the extra garbage projects the teachers give you. You can also use the extra time to boost your SAT. GPA+SAT is what really matters.
University of California gives a full 1.0 higher GPA for "Advanced Placement" courses, even though a study says that 0.5 would better predict freshman GPA. I'd like to see Advanced Placement test scores weighed more heavily in college admissions, but there is a lot of resistance to that.
2. Find the majors in your university of choice that have a low enrollment or needs your demographic. Then figure out what the university policy is for changing majors or schools within the University. My school had a college of Arts and Sciences. So you can apply as say a German major and then switch to Biology if you want to. It's easy. If you're a guy, apply to the school of nursing if the school has one. If you're a girl, engineering might do the trick at some schools.
But make sure you can transfer. One hint is if it says "School of ..." they might not let you transfer from the School of Nursing to the School of Engineering.
3. Be a competent athlete. This is obviously easier said than done but many top level schools (Northwestern, Michigan, all the Ivies, Duke, etc.) just need warm bodies to fill out a team that won't fail out, get arrested, get into fights, or develop a drug problem. We had lots of guys on our team that would have been 3rd string on their J.V. team in high school but being an athlete was the bump that got them into an Ivy. Coaches at these schools often don't mind if you're not a great athlete if they think you will be successful in your professional life after graduation. You're a potential donor ($) to the program for life.
In Tom Wolfe's I Am Charlotte Simmons, the Dupont University basketball team has three "swimmies" (tall white guys who aren't terribly good at basketball but have lots of endurance for practice, and who are genuine students) to fill the 13th-15th spots on the roster and boost team GPA. Is that common?
When I was a freshman at Rice, I played in a pickup basketball game in which my team of five non-athletes beat a team of four Division I basketball players 20-16. My big contribution to the upset was calling out, when we non-jocks jumped out to a 16-4 lead on a streak of hot-shooting, "Game at 20!" Not surprisingly, we soon regressed toward the mean, and barely hung on to win 20-16.
Granted, the Rice basketball team was pretty awful. That Christmas I went to Pauley Pavilion see them play a UCLA team that had four NBA first round draft picks on it. UCLA beat Rice 107-60 and it wasn't that close. The highlight was when Rice's center got the ball down low and tried to lean in on UCLA's David Greenwood, who simply took a step back and let the Rice big man fall down untouched.
But still ...
4. Go meet the coaches. Go to a summer camp or just call them up and drop by the school and try to meet them. At the top schools, the coaches simply don't have time to scan the whole country looking for athletes that approach the minimum test scores or grades required for admission. They are thrilled if you find them. A ten minute meeting with a coach is all it takes sometimes. Just don't be pushy. Pushy parents are a huge problem that coaches don't want to deal with unless you're kid is an amazing athlete (in which case you wouldn't really need an admissions strategy).
This strategy is low cost and fairly easy to do. It's even easier with women since Title 9 worships women athletes. This strategy is great for the minor sports. If you're trying to play basketball at Duke, you're out of luck. Wrestling, squash, tennis, track, swimming, soccer, and rowing (at some schools) are prime targets. Even football at the Ivies has some opportunities. Being president of the Spanish club or yearbook editor does nothing for you. Sports can be a great meal ticket. And the alumni benefits are tremendous as you have 10-50 instant connections depending on the size of your team. There are often opportunities for extra money with summer jobs through alumni as well.
May 23, 2011
Brock O'Bama
President Barry O'Bama visited his ancestral village of Moneygall in Ireland yesterday.
Of course, he didn't realize he had any Irish ancestors until a genealogist looked them up in 2007. But, like I pointed out in my review of Jared Taylor's White Identity, it's cool for politicians to identify as black or Irish, or even black and Irish, but it's not cool to identify as white.
It was on one of these Irish Roots trips that Bill Clinton fell in love with the great Ballybunion golf course. (The two towns that feature Bill Clinton statues are Ballybunion and Pristina.) So far, Obama is lacking in discriminating taste in golf courses, so maybe he'll learn something in Ireland.
It was on one of these Irish Roots trips that Bill Clinton fell in love with the great Ballybunion golf course. (The two towns that feature Bill Clinton statues are Ballybunion and Pristina.) So far, Obama is lacking in discriminating taste in golf courses, so maybe he'll learn something in Ireland.
The ideal GOP Presidential candidate
I'm surprised there hasn't been more talk yet about the one man who is the most obvious Republican nominee for the 2012 Presidential election.
Just as Barack Obama's nomination was the result of trends brewing in the Democratic Party since 1964, this man's nomination would be the logical end point of trends brewing within the GOP since the first Nixon Administration. He's:
- smart
- energetic
- articulate
- an MIT grad
- has a long track record of experience in high office
- he's on the right side of the issues that big GOP donors like Sheldon Adelson and the big conservative media care about most
- and, as he's showed over the last week, he always dominates Barack Obama in head to head confrontations.
Just as Barack Obama's nomination was the result of trends brewing in the Democratic Party since 1964, this man's nomination would be the logical end point of trends brewing within the GOP since the first Nixon Administration. He's:
- smart
- energetic
- articulate
- an MIT grad
- has a long track record of experience in high office
- he's on the right side of the issues that big GOP donors like Sheldon Adelson and the big conservative media care about most
- and, as he's showed over the last week, he always dominates Barack Obama in head to head confrontations.
Ladies and gentlemen, I present you your 2012 Republican Presidential nominee ... Bibi Netanyahu!
Granted, the Wall Street Journal will demand assurances that his past insensitive rhetoric on the illegal immigration issue will not continue in his new job. And, of course, some "birthers" will try to raise doubts, will claim that his birth certificate shows him having been born in Tel Aviv, but conspiracy theorists can be safely ignored.
The Importance of Being Barack
A minor trend I've noticed is people fiddling around with their names in order to make themselves seem more eligible for diversity brownie points. For example, local talk radio host Raoul Lowery noticed that his Irish surname wasn't getting him anywhere, so he added, in the Mexican style, his Mexican mother's last name to make himself Raoul Lowery-Contreras, and, bingo, he was suddenly Spanish-surnamed and could market himself to radio stations as the Voice of the Emerging Latino Tidal Wave.
Similarly, performance artist Sandra Loh felt contempt for the whole system of diversity brownie points, but a starving performance artist has to eat. So, she realized it would a be a lot easier to get grants in the diversity-crazed SoCal arts scene if she emphasized being Asian. She already had a Chinese last name via her Cal Tech professor dad, but Loh sounds like it could be, say, German. Maybe it's short for Lohmann? And since her mother was German, that was a problem. So she added her middle name Tsing and became Sandra Tsing Loh, which immediately boosted her career.
Similarly, a friend in the Bay Area tells me about an Asian high school girl who got into UCLA despite grades and test scores well below UCLA's usual standards. Why? Well, Proposition 209 in 1996 meant that the UC schools aren't allowed to ask about racial identity on the application. So, the diversicrats struck back by making the admissions process "holistic," including two essays, on which you are encouraged to wax eloquent about your diversityness.
The consultant who wrote the Chinese girl's UC essay played on her ambiguous sounding last name (could be Chinese, could be WASP, could be black) and the fact that she happened to have been born into the small Chinese community in Ecuador (but grew up in suburban California) to make her sound like she might be black and/or Latino instead of just another pretty smart, pretty hard working Chinese girl from a Bay Area suburb. UCLA automatically enrolled her in the summer-before-freshman-year remedial program that they run to help NAM admittees catch-up with whites and Asians.
In America, unlike in apartheid South Africa, there is very little in the way of background checking into claims to belong to a particular racial/ethnic group.
The main exceptions are Indian tribes. If you wake up tomorrow and remember that your grandmother told you she was a Pechanga Indian, and therefore you deserve an annual check of your share of the profits from the giant Pechanga casino on the road to Palm Springs, well, you've got your work cut out for you. The Pechanga tribe is allowed only one casino, so distributing profits is a zero sum game: adding a long lost Pechangan to the roles dilutes the size of all the current Pechangans' checks. They they set a "blood quantum" of minimum Pechanganess (typically, 1/4th, so you'd better hope Grannie wasn't merely, say, 3/4th Pechangan).
So, Indian tribes maintain systems much like the Boer state did in apartheid South Africa to decide who is in and who is out of the favorable line of descent. Much genealogical detail is required to validate claims of Pechanganess.
On the other hand, diversity bennies for everybody else, such as blacks and Hispanics, are close to infinite sum games. The more people who claim to be diverse, the more the non-diverse must pony up, and more the beneficiaries of affirmative action there are to fight politically for their continuance. Every so often, a few black intellectuals, most notably Henry Louis Gates and Lani Guinier, complain about how Harvard gives away too many affirmative action slots to blacks who don't have a plausible claim to have been victimized by American slavery. For example, they have a white parent or their black parents are foreign. But, Gates and Guinier kind of shut up about this with the rise of Barack Obama, who is the double epitome of exactly the kind of freeloader they are kind of talking about.
Obama, himself, had the problem than "Barry Obama from Honolulu" doesn't sound black at all -- it sounds like an assimilated part-Japanese guy. (Obama is a town in Japan, and thus he almost didn't get hired for his famous community organizer job organizing blacks because the guy he sent the resume to thought he was Japanese.)
Moreover, by the 1970s, "Barry" was sounding like the kind of tin-eared name that immigrants foist on their kids to make them sound more assimilated and classier. The classic example is Irving, an old, respectable Anglo-American surname -- most notably, Washington Irving, America's first famous fiction writer. In the early 20th Century, Russian Jewish immigrant parents seized upon "Irving" as a WASPy first name for their sons (e.g., Irving Kristol). Soon, the name was so inextricably linked to socially maladroit hard-chargers from the Outer Boroughs that it became a standard joke name for Mad Magazine.
"Barry" peaked in popularity as a first name the year after Obama was born, but it was already starting to sound a little Irvingish, a little trying-too-hard-to-be-assimilated by the late 1970s: e.g., Barry Manilow. So, no more Barry. If Obama had been really confident in his blackness, he would have shortened Barack to Rock Obama, like baseball player Tim "Rock" Raines. Instead, at Occidental, he switched to Barack. Compared to Barry, Barack sounds more Balack.
Are there any strategies where parents could manipulate this kind of thing? Could you name your kid D'Shqwan Jacob Smith, and he grows up being Jake Smith, but when he applies to the University of California, he's suddenly D'Shqwan Smith?
Are there any strategies where parents could manipulate this kind of thing? Could you name your kid D'Shqwan Jacob Smith, and he grows up being Jake Smith, but when he applies to the University of California, he's suddenly D'Shqwan Smith?
What's wrong with AEI portrait of minority mortgage meltdown?
May 22, 2011
Mitch Daniels too sane to be President
So, I won't be able to say I had dinner with a Presidential candidate: Indiana governor Mitch Daniels has announced he won't run, citing the opposition of wife and four daughters. Back in 1993, his wife ran off, but then they got remarried in 1997. Plus, there was the drug dealing in college, which didn't get much attention, but would have if he'd run. Kind of a lot of laundry to air in public for your kids if you're a pretty okay guy like Daniels is.
In contrast, Dominique Strauss-Kahn was full speed ahead for running for president of France until his recent rape arrest. You gotta have the fire in the belly.
In other gossip, a California legal / political heavyweight told a friend that Arnold Schwarzenegger and Maria Shriver had better reconcile. If not, Arnold's business deals are so complicated to unravel (kind of like the McCourts, the divorcing owners of the L.A. Dodgers), that a divorce would be the equivalent of a California Lawyers Full Employment Act.
I've been following Arnold's bizarre career at least since the mid-1970s, so even when I don't have anything interesting to say about him, I'm still interested.
In other gossip, a California legal / political heavyweight told a friend that Arnold Schwarzenegger and Maria Shriver had better reconcile. If not, Arnold's business deals are so complicated to unravel (kind of like the McCourts, the divorcing owners of the L.A. Dodgers), that a divorce would be the equivalent of a California Lawyers Full Employment Act.
I've been following Arnold's bizarre career at least since the mid-1970s, so even when I don't have anything interesting to say about him, I'm still interested.
The forever war over tracking
People are always getting mad at me for talking about race and IQ. Why do you obsess over race and IQ when nobody else in the entire world ever thinks about it? Well, as Trotsky might have said, you may not be interested in race and IQ, but race and IQ are interested in you. Thus, the endless stream of newspaper articles obsessing over my obsessions, just more obtusely.
For example, I've long pointed out the never-ending struggle between parents (and the better sort of teachers) and educrats over tracking within schools. The educartel hates tracking because it makes clear racial differences in intelligence.
Here's an article from the Washington Post that illustrates a lot of iSteve themes. And, allow me to compliment reporter Kevin Sieff for doing a good job of laying out the facts honestly and intelligently.
School districts move away from honors classes in favor of AP courses
By Kevin Sieff, Published: May 22
Not long ago, honors courses were considered a hallmark of student achievement, a designation that impressed colleges and made parents beam.
Now, those courses are vanishing from public schools nationwide as administrators move toward a more inclusive curriculum designed to encourage underrepresented minority students to join their high-achieving peers in college-level Advanced Placement classes.
Fairfax County’s public schools are at the forefront of the movement, nudging would-be honors students toward more-rigorous AP courses, despite criticism from some parents that eliminating honors will have the reverse effect and lead some students to choose less-demanding “standard education” classes instead of AP.
A little background: the Washington D.C. suburbs have some of the smartest kids and most educationally ambitious parents in the country. The suburban public schools are also pretty diverse racially, so not everybody is so motivated.
High schools used to offer regular and honors tracks, but then ambitious parents demanded an even higher track of Advanced Placement courses. So, three tracks became standard, which seemed to make these hard-charging parents happy. Say you have a 120 IQ kid and a 100 IQ kid. The first one goes into AP and the second one goes into the middle track, Honors, where he'll be with the more average whites and the smarter blacks and Latinos, but he won't be pushed beyond his capabilities. Sounds pretty reasonable, right? What parents of average kids fear is a two track system where their kid either is in over his head in AP or is in with the 80 IQ kids in the only other track.
Honors courses are generally taught from the same lesson plan as regular classes but at a faster pace and in greater depth. An AP course contains altogether more-challenging material — charting a path that coheres to national standards, which are heavily endorsed by the Fairfax school system.
This fall, Fairfax will discontinue honors-level courses in subjects where an AP class is offered, drawing the ire of parents who want to restore what they call an academic middle ground. They have formed a group called Restore Honors Courses. ...
Considerable opposition from Fairfax parents has prompted the school board to review its decision to do away with high school honors courses that for years served as an alternative to basic and AP courses. But it remains unclear whether local advocates of honors courses can resist a national trend to reduce the number of “tracks” for students.
“Honors courses are drying up in many districts across the country because of the push to democratize Advanced Placement classes,” said Tom Loveless, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Some schools in Illinois, New York, Oregon and several other states have begun phasing out the distinction.
But, this reasonable system drives educrats crazy for PC reasons, who want to go back to two tracks to push lots of NAMs into AP by not letting them take mere Honors.
The good news about educrats is that they aren't very bright and aren't very good at predicting the effects of policies. So, if a trend comes along like Advanced Placement that increases tracking, Ed-school educated educrats seldom notice ahead of time that AP will have massive disparate impact. They drink their own Kool-Aid. Who could have known that AP classes were actually tracking in disguise and that whites and Asians would wind up in AP classes more than blacks and Mexicans? To predict requires prejudice and that's the worst thing in the whole world.
So, the educrats didn't organize effectively to put up a fight against parents' and the better teachers' demands for AP. But, now, the truth has finally dawned on them so they are fighting back by trying to fill AP courses with NAMs.
But the problem is that a lot of the smarter NAMs are smart enough to know they aren't smart enough to take a lot of AP courses. So, if the AP carrot isn't working, the educrats are going to wield the stick by taking away mid-range Honors courses, making the bottom of the barrel the only alternative to AP. The plan is to scare the 100 IQ NAMs into AP courses with 120 IQ Asians and whites.
So, the educrats didn't organize effectively to put up a fight against parents' and the better teachers' demands for AP. But, now, the truth has finally dawned on them so they are fighting back by trying to fill AP courses with NAMs.
But the problem is that a lot of the smarter NAMs are smart enough to know they aren't smart enough to take a lot of AP courses. So, if the AP carrot isn't working, the educrats are going to wield the stick by taking away mid-range Honors courses, making the bottom of the barrel the only alternative to AP. The plan is to scare the 100 IQ NAMs into AP courses with 120 IQ Asians and whites.
That trend has reduced the number of levels available in a given subject area. A decade ago, nearly all school systems offered at least three tracks in high school — usually regular, honors and Advanced Placement. Now, many have shifted to two options, as Fairfax will in the fall. Some have gone even further, placing all students in a single track.
“We’ve found that traditionally underrepresented minorities do not access the most-rigorous track when three tracks are offered. But when two tracks are offered, they do,” said Peter Noonan, Fairfax’s assistant superintendent for instructional services.
Increasingly, educators are using AP test data to measure the disparity between white students and their black and Hispanic peers, revealing a profound achievement gap in high-level courses.
African Americans, for example, represented 14.6 percent of the total high school graduating class last year, but they made up less than 4 percent of the AP student population who earned a score of three or higher on at least one exam, each of which is weighted on a five-point scale.
Many underrepresented minority students are able to handle college-level coursework but are intimidated by the AP label, Noonan says. In Fairfax, where students choose their own course schedule with guidance from teachers and counselors, administrators are eager to give students incentives to take AP classes.
But in reducing the hierarchy of available courses, Fairfax has left students such as W.T. Woodson High School’s Conor Wade unsatisfied.
Wade is now taking 11th-grade basic — or standard education — English, which he says is “not at all challenging.” He’s enrolled in two AP courses and is not ready to take a third. “It’s like choosing between two extremes,” he said. “An honors class would be perfect — something in the middle.”
“It is the position of Fairfax County Public Schools that AP and IB courses, where available, provide the best education opportunity for our students,” district officials wrote in a recent memo to parents, using the acronym for International Baccalaureate. ...
But concerned Fairfax parents have analyzed enrollment data at Woodson, which show that a significant number of students who took honors classes in 10th grade dropped to standard education, instead of elevating to AP courses, once the honors option was eliminated in 11th grade.
“Instead of encouraging them to take more-advanced courses, eliminating honors pushes students backward, to less-challenging courses,” said Megan McLaughlin, a member of Restore Honors Courses.
Other parents and analysts worry that students will be coaxed into taking AP courses even if they are unprepared for college-level rigor, slowing the pace of learning and setting up some students to fail.
Officials at some low-income urban schools point to encouraging minority students to take AP courses as a critical element in closing the achievement gap. But in suburbs nationwide, parents of high-achieving students have threatened to leave school districts that are eliminating honors courses and reducing the number of tracks available, a phenomenon researchers have dubbed “bright flight.”
In Fairfax, school board members call the issue one of the most divisive they’ve discussed. In response to parent opposition, they have announced a work session in July to reevaluate it.
“Parents want more choices for their children, not fewer choices,” said Sandy Evans, a school board member representing Mason. “Eliminating the middle ground forces students to choose between being bored and being overwhelmed.” If Evans has her way, honors courses will be restored as soon as possible.
So, by now, AP is sacrosanct. The educrats can't get rid of AP classes. So, to reduce tracking they are trying to get rid of the mid-level Honors courses.
If educrats were smarter, they'd be more dangerous.
Mrs. DSK's last blog post: on immigration
Madame Strauss-Kahn is Ann Sinclair, an American-born French Jewish heiress, whose grandfather was Picasso's art dealer. She was a popular interview host on French TV. And she has a blog.
Not surprisingly, she hasn't been updating it lately, so the last entry was commending Obama's El Paso speech on immigration. (Did Obama get around to mentioning how he wants El Paso to be more like Ciudad Juarez? Probably not.) Via Google Translate:
But Barack Obama did not stop for obstructions multiplied by the Republicans last year, he also denounced the arguments with the stench of racism used by the opposition, which enjoys the challenging economic environment for sordid mix of fear unemployment and abroad because of the stalemate in Congress, "Look at Intel, Google, Yahoo and eBay. [Take a closer look] these large American companies, the sheer number of jobs they have created, the leadership that enabled us to take in high-technology: each of [these firms] was founded by an immigrant."
Yup, El Paso's a real technology hub. For example, in last year's hit movie The Social Network, the crux of the conflict between business partners Mark Zuckerberg and Eduardo Saverin is that Zuckerberg insists upon moving Facebook's operations from Cambridge, MA to El Paso, TX to be near all the venture capitalists, while Eduardo spends the summer in New York.
Yes, there are acts and those who denounce them. There will govern for the better of his country and that of scoring points by killing all initiative and playing one-upmanship. Yes, there are many " do politics "and" have a policy . " Rarely compatible. Obama did yesterday's demonstration.
The DSKs: they're better than our or me because they hold more sophisticated views on immigration. Actions toward immigrants, not so much, but watch what they say, not what they do.
Panhandling 3
There were some quite generous donations during the second day of my spring fundraising drive as well. I thank all the donors. If you haven't donated yet during this drive, please consider it.
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Wolves, coyotes, and dogs: species or races?
Race can't exist because the boundaries are too vague. The existence of species, however, is assumed in the name of the Endangered Species Act. Yet, when we stop and think about dogs, wolves, and coyotes, it's not immediately obvious whether these familiar beasts should be classified as three species or three races within one species.
A press release has some genetic relevant to this old conundrum:
ALBANY, NY.- A State Museum scientist has co-authored a new research article, representing the most detailed genomic study of its kind, which shows that wolves and coyotes in the eastern United States are hybrids between gray wolves, coyotes and domestic dogs.
Dr. Roland Kays, the Museum’s curator of mammals, was one of 15 other national and international scientists who collaborated on the study that used unprecedented genetic technology, developed from the dog genome, to survey the global genetic diversity in dogs, wolves and coyotes. The study used over 48,000 genetic markers, making it the most detailed genomic study of any wild vertebrate species.
The research results are especially relevant to wolves and coyotes in the Northeast. The study shows a gradient of hybridization in wolves, with pure wolves in western states and increasing hybridization as you move east. Wolves in the western Great Lakes area averaged a genetic makeup of 85 percent wolf and 15 percent coyote,
My wife saw one of these wolf-coyote hybrids in Racine, Wisconsin a dozen years ago: it looked big, assertive, and scary like a wolf, but was fairly solitary, like a coyote. In Southern California, in contrast, there are no wolves, and coyotes furtively skulk around by themselves.
while wolves in Algonquin Park in eastern Ontario averaged 58 percent wolf, and the ‘red wolf’ in North Carolina was only 24 percent wolf and 76 percent coyote. Populations of eastern coyotes, which only colonized the region in the last 60 years, were also minor hybrids, with some introgression of genetic material from wolves and domestic dogs. For example, Northeastern coyotes, including those in New York State, had genetic material primarily from coyotes (82 percent), with a minor contribution from dogs (9 percent) and wolves (9 percent). ...
Kays said “In most cases this breeding across species lines seems to have happened at times when humans were hunting eastern wolves to extinction, and the few remaining animals could find no proper mates, so took the best option they could get.” Kays continues, “The exceptions were an older hybridization between coyotes and wolves in the western Great Lakes dating from 600-900 years ago, and a coyote-dog hybridization in the eastern U.S. about 50 years ago, when coyote were first colonizing eastern forests.”
This study also provides fresh data on the controversy over the species status of the Red Wolf in North Carolina, and the Eastern Canadian Wolf in Ontario. Both are medium-sized wolves that some have argued represent unique species. However, this new detailed genetic data shows both are the result of hybridizations between coyotes and wolves over the last few hundred years, and do not share a common origin in a unique eastern wolf species.
This research is also relevant to a recent U.S. Fish and Wildlife proposal to remove the western Great Lakes wolves from the Endangered Species Act by showing that those wolves are only marginally hybridized with coyotes, should be considered a subspecies of the Gray Wolf, and have no genetic ties to a more endangered form of eastern wolf.
As with modern humans and Neanderthals, introgression allows rapid evolution to adapt to new environments:
This study follows another research paper co-authored by Kays last year in the journal Biology Letters, which used museum specimens and genetic samples to show that eastern coyotes hybridized with wolves to rapidly evolve into a larger form over the last 90 years, dramatically expanding their geographic range and becoming the top predator in the Northeast. This hybridization contributed to the evolution of coyotes from mousers of western grasslands to deer hunters of eastern forests. The resulting coy-wolf hybrids are larger, with wider skulls that are better adapted for hunting deer.
Are Neanderthals and modern humans different species? I dunno.
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